Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.094195 0.110073 0.127765 0.148937 0.173583 0.201368 0.235079
2026-02-01 0.070318 0.090105 0.114210 0.145724 0.185840 0.235216 0.300649
2026-02-08 0.055032 0.076510 0.104821 0.144843 0.199971 0.273272 0.378251
2026-02-15 0.043529 0.065164 0.095793 0.142269 0.211017 0.309028 0.459582
2026-02-22 0.036295 0.058130 0.091119 0.144513 0.228785 0.356782 0.566316
2026-03-01 0.030152 0.051391 0.085460 0.143974 0.241997 0.399789 0.673621
2026-03-08 0.024614 0.044446 0.078079 0.139111 0.247157 0.430690 0.766864
2026-03-15 0.020924 0.039869 0.073699 0.138310 0.258704 0.473663 0.887592
2026-03-22 0.018716 0.037495 0.072684 0.143170 0.280929 0.538562 1.058285
2026-03-29 0.016928 0.035553 0.072071 0.148572 0.304939 0.610376 1.254025
2026-04-05 0.015258 0.033513 0.070873 0.152534 0.326676 0.681114 1.459475
2026-04-12 0.013692 0.031382 0.069097 0.154933 0.345506 0.748840 1.669970
2026-04-19 0.011654 0.027952 0.064242 0.150461 0.350266 0.791050 1.840456
2026-04-26 0.009815 0.024612 0.058991 0.144180 0.350040 0.822966 1.995567
2026-05-03 0.008496 0.022241 0.055518 0.141398 0.357502 0.873766 2.205000
2026-05-10 0.007329 0.020006 0.051945 0.137690 0.362086 0.918858 2.410083
2026-05-17 0.006590 0.018726 0.050498 0.139085 0.379807 0.999166 2.719443
2026-05-24 0.005842 0.017263 0.048297 0.138070 0.391093 1.065443 3.005709
2026-05-31 0.005043 0.015481 0.044895 0.133098 0.390714 1.101301 3.217357
2026-06-07 0.004501 0.014335 0.043036 0.132134 0.401451 1.169268 3.532636
2026-06-14 0.004202 0.013865 0.043035 0.136649 0.429088 1.289666 4.023896
2026-06-21 0.003946 0.013476 0.043199 0.141719 0.459482 1.423759 4.583115
2026-06-28 0.003675 0.012980 0.042944 0.145442 0.486509 1.552985 5.153511